open access publication

Review, 2024

Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP

Geoscientific Model Development, ISSN 1991-959X, Volume 17, 6, Pages 2387-2417, 10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024

Contributors

Fiedler S. 0000-0001-8898-9949 (Corresponding author) [1] [2] Naik V. [3] O'Connor F. 0000-0003-2893-4828 [4] [5] Smith C.J. 0000-0003-0599-4633 [6] [7] Griffiths P. 0000-0002-1089-340X [8] Kramer R.J. 0000-0002-9377-0674 [3] [9] [10] Takemura T. 0000-0002-2859-6067 [11] Allen R.J. 0000-0003-1616-9719 [12] Im U. 0000-0001-5177-5306 [13] [14] Kasoar M. 0000-0001-5571-8843 [15] Modak A. 0000-0002-4406-7288 [16] Turnock S. 0000-0002-0036-4627 [5] [7] Voulgarakis A. 0000-0002-6656-4437 [15] [17] Watson-Parris D. 0000-0002-5312-4950 [18] [19] Westervelt D.M. 0000-0003-0806-9961 [20] [21] Wilcox L. 0000-0001-5691-1493 [22] Zhao A. 0000-0002-8300-5872 [22] Collins W.J. 0000-0002-7419-0850 [22] Schulz M. 0000-0003-4493-4158 [23] Myhre G. 0000-0002-4309-476X [24] Forster P.M. 0000-0002-6078-0171 [7]

Affiliations

  1. [1] GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
  2. [NORA names: Germany; Europe, EU; OECD];
  3. [2] Kiel University
  4. [NORA names: Germany; Europe, EU; OECD];
  5. [3] NOAA
  6. [NORA names: United States; America, North; OECD];
  7. [4] University of Exeter
  8. [NORA names: United Kingdom; Europe, Non-EU; OECD];
  9. [5] Met Office Hadley Centre
  10. [NORA names: United Kingdom; Europe, Non-EU; OECD];

Abstract

The climate science community aims to improve our understanding of climate change due to anthropogenic influences on atmospheric composition and the Earth's surface. Yet not all climate interactions are fully understood, and uncertainty in climate model results persists, as assessed in the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment report. We synthesize current challenges and emphasize opportunities for advancing our understanding of the interactions between atmospheric composition, air quality, and climate change, as well as for quantifying model diversity. Our perspective is based on expert views from three multi-model intercomparison projects (MIPs) - the Precipitation Driver Response MIP (PDRMIP), the Aerosol Chemistry MIP (AerChemMIP), and the Radiative Forcing MIP (RFMIP). While there are many shared interests and specializations across the MIPs, they have their own scientific foci and specific approaches. The partial overlap between the MIPs proved useful for advancing the understanding of the perturbation-response paradigm through multi-model ensembles of Earth system models of varying complexity. We discuss the challenges of gaining insights from Earth system models that face computational and process representation limits and provide guidance from our lessons learned. Promising i

Funders

  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration
  • Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy
  • Natural Environment Research Council
  • Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
  • Newton Fund
  • Horizon 2020
  • China Research and Innovation Partnership Fund
  • European Research Council
  • Norges Forskningsråd
  • Leverhulme Trust
  • National Centre for Atmospheric Science
  • Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme
  • Environment Research and Technology Development Fund
  • Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
  • European Space Agency
  • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
  • GEOMAR Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel
  • Hellenic Foundation for Research and Innovation
  • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
  • DOMOS
  • UK–China Research and Innovation Partnership Fund
  • AXA Research Fund
  • Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency

Data Provider: Elsevier